Decision Quality by SDG (Strategic Decisions Group)

Here's a link to an excellent 60' webinar that I re-watch a couple of times a year, that explains the figure and helps you make decisions in a very logical manner.
Strategic Decisions Group does a lot of training through Stanford.

Just click on the URL:
http://www.sdg.com/webinars/decision-quality-the-art-and-science-of-good-decision-making/

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Here are some related links on decision-making:
-  Jim Matheson Decision Analysis